The Dangers of Storytelling in Investing: How to Avoid the Narrative Fallacy

Posted on October 13, 2024October 13, 2024 by Admin

The Dangers of Storytelling in Investing: How to Avoid the Narrative Fallacy

Imagine explaining why a leaf fell from a tree at 3:42 PM on a Tuesday.

Was it the wind? The age of the leaf? A butterfly flapping its wings in Kashmir?

In reality, it was most likely a combination of multiple factors, many too small for us to even notice.

Well, every movement in the stock market is like that leaf, but infinitely more complex. However, here we have a story for every leaf falling.

Think about a financial news headline you read recently. “Nifty 50, Sensex at All-Time High: What to Expect from Indian Stock Market on September 25” or “Market Plunges Amid Russia-Ukraine Tensions.”

Sound familiar? These attention-grabbing headlines give us neat explanations for the complex movements of the market. And we do believe them.

We believe them because doing so gives us comfort. Comfort from thinking that we understand why things happen in finance and investing. Comfort from believing that we are in control and can predict the future.

We are born storytellers. Stories captivate us. Our innate tendency is to seek meaning, draw patterns, and make sense of the confusion around us. It is a good quality of being human. However, the same instinct that makes us good storytellers may also deceive us when it comes to investing.

Nassim Taleb calls it a “narrative fallacy” in his book ‘Black Swan.’

He explains that while these stories often seem to make sense in hindsight, they are usually simplistic and fall short of conveying the actual complexity of the financial markets. More importantly, they frequently downplay the significance of luck and chance.

Many events that occur in the stock market – including the daily stock price movements – result from multiple factors, many of which cannot be easily predicted or explained. If we create stories around them, we risk overestimating our ability to understand the past and predict the future.

Taleb wrote in his book –

The narrative fallacy addresses our limited ability to look at sequences of facts without weaving an explanation into them, or equivalently, forcing a logical link, an arrow of relationship, upon them. Explanations bind facts together. They make them all the more readily remembered; they help them make more sense. Where this propensity can go wrong is when it increases our impression of understanding. [. . .] We like stories, we like to summarize, and we like to simplify, i.e., to reduce the dimension of matters. [. . .] The fallacy is associated with our vulnerability to overinterpretation and our predilection for compact stories over raw truths.

Daniel Kahneman wrote in ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’ –

Flawed stories of the past shape our views of the world and our expectations for the future. Narrative fallacies arise inevitably from our continuous attempt to make sense of the world. The explanatory stories that people find compelling are simple; are concrete rather than abstract; assign a larger role to talent, stupidity, and intentions than to luck; and focus on a few striking events that happened rather than on the countless events that failed to happen. Any recent salient event is a candidate to become the kernel of a causal narrative

The Danger of Believing Our Own Stories

Once we believe we understand why something happened, we are more likely to assume that we can predict what will happen next. If we think a stock rose because of a company’s innovative product, we might feel confident that its price will continue to increase as the company expands.

However, markets are notoriously unpredictable, so even a seemingly apparent cause-and-effect link could be a mirage.

Many investors are shocked by unexpected outcomes because they base their decisions on stories that are too simple, having been lulled into a false sense of security by their knowledge of past events.

Confirmation bias, or our tendency to ignore evidence that contradicts our preconceived notions in favour of information that confirms them, is also strongly connected to the narrative fallacy.

When you buy a stock, and it falls after that, your first reaction is to tell yourself, “That’s just a temporary fall! I know the stock is very good and will do well over time.” This reasoning is acceptable if you are holding on to a fundamentally sound business. But if you realise that you have made a mistake buying that business and don’t want to sell out at a loss, you look out for reasons validating your thoughts.

You look for reasons that confirm your decision that the stock is good. You check out websites and message boards, spend time on business channels, or call your broker to get his view. And even before you are about to get that second opinion, you expect it will confirm your beliefs. If that isn’t the case, you look to another person’s views that will validate your decision. In effect, this cycle repeats till the time you lose hope. And then you finally sell the stock at a huge loss!

Another example. If you believe that green energy or defence stocks will continue to rise due to greater demand in the sectors, you might disregard warning signs about overvaluation or broader market trends that suggest a downturn. This selective memory can distort your investment process and increase your exposure to risk.

Anyways, perhaps the most dangerous aspect of the narrative fallacy is that it blinds us to the role of randomness in financial markets. We frequently overlook the extent to which historical events were influenced by chance when we construct flawlessly plausible explanations for them.

Taleb warns that even the most successful investors may have been lucky in the past, but their successes get attributed to skill in the stories we tell ourselves.

This excessive reliance on narratives can lead to disastrous results when luck eventually runs out.

How to Break Free from the Narrative Trap

It is difficult. Why? Because as I mentioned earlier, we are natural tellers and believers of stories.

However, recognising the narrative fallacy and its dangers is a good first step toward avoiding it.

One way to do that is to appreciate and accept that there is something called as ‘uncertainty’ – that we do not know most of how the world and markets will move in the future.

It is thus essential to acknowledge the role of randomness and avoid placing too much faith in any one explanation for market movements. When we accept that we cannot always know what will happen next, we can approach investing with more humility and caution.

Diversification is another defence against the unpredictability of the markets. You can lessen your exposure to any one event or story by spreading your investments across various assets and businesses. This reduces the danger of placing an excessive amount of money on a single explanation or story.

Not to forget the importance we must put on the process than the outcome. Rather than focusing on whether a particular investment was successful, we should focus on whether our decision-making process was sound.

Did we base our investment on sound research and long-term strategy, or were we swayed by a compelling story?

It’s about playing the long game, not winning every hand.

Letting go of simple narratives doesn’t make the world of investing less interesting. If anything, it becomes more fascinating.

You start to appreciate that markets are like a complex adaptive system and are moved by countless factors than the ‘one’ you hear on business media. You develop a healthy respect for the role of chance. And paradoxically, by accepting that you can’t predict everything, you become a wiser, more resilient investor.

The goal of knowing about narrative fallacy is not to stop enjoying stories. It’s to recognize them for what they are – simplified versions of a complex reality.

In investing, as in life, the truth is often messier, more nuanced, and far more interesting than any single story can capture. And the best investors are not the ones who can tell the most compelling stories, but those who can walk through the unpredictability and volatility of the market with patience, intelligence, and a good dose of scepticism.

And that, my friend, is a story worth striving for.

Tax filing Options

Posted on July 17, 2024July 17, 2024 by Admin

tax spammer.com

cleartax

office discount

April 2024

Posted on April 14, 2024April 15, 2024 by Admin

08-April-24

Wipro – has new CEO Srinivas Pallia – he should be turning Wipro around. can the Wipro rebound

Import of electronic components Declines

09-April-24

ITC Hotels Plans to add 70 Properties in Five Years (Boom in Hospitality Sector)

Airtel Jio continue to have fierce Competition

Auto Continue to be bullish

10 April 2024

RIL , 2 more get Green light to Dock at Kandla

https://indiaai.gov.in/news/cabinet-approves-india-ai-mission-at-an-outlay-of-rs-10-372-crore

AI Compute GPU is next big game play

one of he GPU Providers https://yotta.com/

EV Retail Sales Grow across segments

Exercise can protect your brain

Sitting , Walking , Running Cycling

Posted on April 13, 2024 by Admin

Give me comparison in table that what happens when we are sitting in 
body vs when we are sleeping vs walking vs when we are running vs when we are cycling. 
in terms of blood flow, heart performance, liver, kidney, joins or anything else

Activity	Blood Flow (L/min)	Heart Rate (bpm)	Kidney Filtration Rate (mL/min)	Joint Impact	Liver Function
Sitting	0.5-1.0	60-70	800-1000	Increased pressure on lower back and buttocks	Reduced
Sleeping	0.7-1.2	60-80	600-800	Minimal	Improved
Walking (3 mph)	2.0-3.0	90-110	1000-1200	Low impact	Improved
Running (6 mph)	4.0-6.0	120-170	1200-1500	High impact on knees, ankles, hips	Highly improved
Cycling (moderate)	2.5-4.0	100-140	1100-1300	Low impact (stress on knees if improper form)	Improved

Explanation:

Blood Flow: Sitting restricts blood flow, especially to the legs. Walking increases blood flow, particularly in the legs. Running significantly increases blood flow throughout the body. Cycling increases blood flow, especially in the legs, but not quite as much as running.
Heart Performance: Sitting leads to a slow heart rate. Walking increases heart rate moderately. Running pushes your heart rate to its highest level during these activities. Cycling increases heart rate moderately to highly, depending on intensity.
Kidneys: Sitting can reduce kidney function due to decreased blood flow. Walking improves kidney function by increasing blood flow and waste removal. Running further improves kidney function. Cycling also improves kidney function, similar to walking.
Joints: Sitting puts constant pressure on some joints, like the lower back. Walking is low impact on most joints. Running is high impact, putting stress on knees, ankles, and hips. Cycling is low impact on most joints, but improper form can stress the knees.

Shopping Locations

Posted on March 26, 2024March 26, 2024 by Admin

Big book Bazaar – Darya Ganj

Darya Ganj Sunday Book Market

My Day Routine

Posted on March 21, 2024March 21, 2024 by Admin

Key Routine:

Green Tea
no Sugar till 2pm
very less good till 2pm
Workout is very important every day(walk, cycle, and resistance twice a day)

Concepts

Avoid Sugar in the Morning or because the glucose in the body spikes and then comes down, craving for more sugar
Empty stomach workout and then skip breakfast by 2 hours and then eat moderately and during fasting drink Green tea
Meditation makes the brain anti ageing and it is must

Walk to Run – workout Options

Posted on March 13, 2024March 13, 2024 by Admin

i generally walk for 1 hour covering 5 km, further . please give me 4 week plan to : 1. increase my pace to 7 2. include HIIT during walk 3. during walk run for 1 min – first week 4. during walk run for 2 min – second week 5. during walk run for 3 min – Third week 6. during walk run for 4 min – Fourth week 7. during walk run for 5 min – Fifth week after 4 weeks i shall ask for further plan

4-Week Walking Plan to Increase Pace and Include HIIT:

This plan incorporates your goals of gradually increasing walking pace, incorporating HIIT (High-Intensity Interval Training), and introducing short running intervals.

Disclaimer: This is a general guideline. Always consult a doctor before starting any new exercise program, especially if you have any underlying health conditions.

Key:

WU: Warm-up (5-10 minutes of light walking)
CD: Cool-down (5-10 minutes of light walking)
Easy Pace: Comfortable walking pace (around 5 km/h)
Brisk Pace: Faster walking pace where you can still hold a conversation (around 6-7 km/h)
Run: Maintain a comfortable running pace (can be slightly slower than your usual running pace)

Week 1:

Day 1: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 1 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 2: Rest or light activity (yoga, stretching)
Day 3: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 1 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – 1 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 4: Rest or light activity
Day 5: WU – 35 min Brisk Pace – CD

Week 2:

Day 1: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 2 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 2: Rest or light activity
Day 3: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 2 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – 2 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 4: Rest or light activity
Day 5: WU – 40 min Brisk Pace – CD

Week 3:

Day 1: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 3 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 2: Rest or light activity
Day 3: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 2 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – 3 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 4: Rest or light activity
Day 5: WU – 45 min Brisk Pace – CD

Week 4:

Day 1: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 4 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 2: Rest or light activity
Day 3: WU – 30 min Easy Pace – 2 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – 4 min Run – 2 min Easy Pace – CD
Day 4: Rest or light activity
Day 5: WU – 50 min Brisk Pace – CD

Progression:

This plan gradually increases the running duration each week while maintaining a focus on building your base walking pace.
Listen to your body: Adjust the intensity or duration of the workout if needed. Take rest days when required.

Additional Tips:

Focus on proper form: Maintain good posture while walking and running.
Stay hydrated: Drink plenty of water before, during, and after your workout.
Incorporate strength training: Include 2-3 sessions of bodyweight exercises or light weights per week to improve overall fitness.

After completing this 4-week plan, consult with a doctor or certified personal trainer to discuss further progression based on your fitness level and goals. They can help you design a safe and effective plan to keep challenging yourself and reach your desired pace.

can you give me typical 30 minute HIIT program (excluding warm up and cool down) that will improve my running strength

Here’s a sample 30-minute HIIT program designed to improve running strength, excluding warm-up and cool-down:

Structure:

This workout follows a format of alternating high-intensity intervals with active recovery periods.
High-intensity intervals: Push yourself to near-maximal effort for a set duration. This could involve sprinting, jumping exercises, or hill repeats.
Active recovery: Maintain light movement to keep your heart rate elevated but allow for some recovery. This could be brisk walking, jogging at a slow pace, or jumping jacks at a lower intensity.

Sample Workout:

Round 1:
- High-intensity: 30 seconds uphill sprint (if outdoors) or fast running on a treadmill.
- Active recovery: 60 seconds of brisk walking or jogging.
Round 2:
- High-intensity: 45 seconds of jumping lunges (alternate legs).
- Active recovery: 45 seconds of walking high knees.
Round 3:
- High-intensity: 30 seconds of squat jumps.
- Active recovery: 60 seconds of walking with arm circles.
Round 4:
- High-intensity: 45 seconds of lateral shuffles (sideways movement).
- Active recovery: 45 seconds of walking butt kicks.
Round 5:
- High-intensity: 30 seconds of mountain climbers (alternate bringing knees to chest).
- Active recovery: 60 seconds of walking with dynamic stretches (arm swings, leg swings).

Repeat this entire circuit 3 times for a total of 30 minutes.

Important Notes:

Adjust the intensity: This is a general guideline. You can adjust the intensity of the high-intensity intervals based on your fitness level. Beginners may start with a slower pace or shorter durations, gradually increasing as they get stronger.
Listen to your body: Take rest days when needed and don’t push yourself to the point of pain.
Focus on form: Maintain proper form throughout the exercises to avoid injury.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered medical advice. Always consult with a healthcare professional before starting any new exercise program, especially if you have any underlying health conditions.

Additional Resources:

- You can find numerous variations of HIIT workouts online and in fitness apps. Look for programs specifically designed for improving running strength.
- Consider consulting with a certified personal trainer who can create a personalized HIIT program tailored to your specific needs and goals.

BEST INFUSED-WATER DRINKS TO LOWER CHOLESTEROL

Posted on March 10, 2024 by Admin

Dr Pranav Ghody, Endocrinologist at Wockhardt Hospitals Mumbai Central says maintaining a heart-healthy diet is crucial for overall well-being

Dr Pranav Ghody, Endocrinologist at Wockhardt Hospitals Mumbai Central says maintaining a heart-healthy diet is crucial for overall well-being© Provided by Hindustan Times

When it comes to taking chronic diseases head on, lifestyle modifications go aPar long way. Sedentary lifestyle can increase your risk of early death as it gives rise to a range of risk factors. Many of these issues like high blood pressure and high cholesterol levels may not have pronounced symptoms in the beginning, and the damage is done before you take corrective steps. High cholesterol levels or too much cholesterol in the blood is one of such hidden lifestyle problems that is on rise in modern times due to faulty eating habits and inactive lifestyle. Our body requires small amounts of cholesterol for functioning efficiently, but consuming fatty and sugary foods can lead to excess cholesterol. This can eventually increase your heart attack and stroke risk and not addressing it can greatly lower quality of life. (Also read: 6 worrying signs and symptoms of high blood pressure during sleep you shouldn’t ignore)

Apart from medication and regular exercise, dietary changes can be quite effective in managing high cholesterol levels. Foods rich in antioxidants, fibre and compounds that naturally lower cholesterol levels are recommended by wellness experts to tackle the chronic issue. Morning is the best time to supply a range of nutrients to your body.

Dr Pranav Ghody, Endocrinologist at Wockhardt Hospitals Mumbai Central says maintaining a heart-healthy diet is crucial for overall well-being, and incorporating specific food combinations into your daily routine can contribute to lower cholesterol levels.

BEST INFUSED-WATER DRINKS TO LOWER CHOLESTEROL

Dr Ghody share seven delicious and nutritious options to consider in the morning:

1. Green Tea

Green tea is rich in polyphenols, especially catechins, known for their anti-inflammatory properties. Research suggests that catechins can interact with cholesterol, leading to reduced absorption and lower blood cholesterol levels. Studies have demonstrated a decrease in total and LDL (Bad) cholesterol levels among individuals who regularly consume green tea.

2. Chia Seeds and Soy Milk

Combining chia seeds with soy milk can provide abundant fibre, protein, and omega-3 fatty acids. Chia seeds have been shown to modestly improve HDL (Good cholesterol) levels, while soy milk, compared to non-fat milk, can reduce LDL (Bad) cholesterol and increase HDL (Good) cholesterol.

3. Turmeric and Soy Milk

Studies, primarily in rodents and some in humans, indicate that turmeric can lower LDL (Bad cholesterol) and triglyceride levels. The active compound, curcumin, possesses antioxidant effects that combat free radicals in the body.

4. Beetroot and Carrot Juice

Beetroot is under investigation for its potential to lower cholesterol due to its high nitrate content. Carrots, rich in carotenoids like beta-carotene, have shown promise in modifying cholesterol absorption and lowering cholesterol levels. While studies are predominantly in rats, similar effects are anticipated in humans.

5. Ginger and Lemon Juice

Ginger has demonstrated the ability to reduce total cholesterol, LDL ((Bad cholesterol), and triglyceride levels, making it a flavourful addition to heart-healthy beverages.

6. Tomato Juice

Lycopene, the pigment responsible for the red colour in tomatoes, has been linked to reduced LDL (Bad) cholesterol, especially at higher doses (>25 mg/day). Its impact is comparable to taking a low-dose statin.

7. Strawberry Smoothie

A delightful option, strawberry smoothies contain dietary flavonoids that have been proven to enhance lipid and lipoprotein profiles in adults with abdominal adiposity, contributing to improved heart health.

Incorporating these nutrient-rich combinations into your diet may not only tantalize your taste buds but also support your journey towards maintaining optimal cholesterol levels and promoting heart health.

Stationary Bike

Posted on March 9, 2024 by Admin

i plan to buy stationary bike, what are the benefits

nvesting in a stationary bike can offer numerous health and fitness benefits. Here are some advantages of incorporating a stationary bike into your exercise routine:

Cardiovascular Health:
- Regular use of a stationary bike helps improve cardiovascular health by increasing your heart rate and promoting better circulation.
- Cardiovascular exercise contributes to the strengthening of the heart and lungs.
Weight Loss and Management:
- Cycling is an effective way to burn calories, making it a valuable tool for weight loss or weight maintenance when combined with a balanced diet.
Low-Impact Exercise:
- Stationary biking is a low-impact exercise, meaning it puts less stress on your joints compared to high-impact activities like running.
- This makes it suitable for people with joint issues or those recovering from injuries.
Convenience and Accessibility:
- Having a stationary bike at home provides convenience, allowing you to exercise at any time without the need to travel to a gym or deal with outdoor weather conditions.
Customizable Workouts:
- Many stationary bikes come with adjustable resistance levels, allowing you to customize the intensity of your workouts based on your fitness level and goals.
- You can simulate different terrains and cycling conditions to add variety to your routine.
Consistent Exercise Routine:
- Having a stationary bike at home encourages regular exercise, as it eliminates some of the common barriers to working out, such as time constraints or concerns about outdoor safety.
Improved Leg Strength and Endurance:
- Cycling engages various muscle groups in the legs, including quadriceps, hamstrings, and calves, helping to improve strength and endurance over time.
Monitoring Progress:
- Many stationary bikes come with built-in monitors or can be connected to fitness apps, allowing you to track your progress, monitor your heart rate, and set fitness goals.
Stress Reduction:
- Regular exercise, including cycling, can contribute to stress reduction and improved mental well-being by releasing endorphins, the body’s natural mood boosters.
Versatility for All Fitness Levels:
- Stationary bikes are suitable for individuals of various fitness levels, from beginners to advanced users.
- You can start with low resistance and gradually increase it as your fitness improves.

Before starting any new exercise routine, especially if you have existing health concerns, it’s advisable to consult with a healthcare professional or fitness expert to ensure that the chosen activity aligns with your health and fitness goals.

Aspect	Stationary Bike	Road Bike
Environment	Indoors, controlled environment	Outdoors, exposed to varying conditions
Terrain and Resistance	Adjustable resistance, constant terrain	Natural variations, hills, and changing terrain
Navigation/Exploration	Limited, stationary position	Opportunities to explore different routes
Safety	Generally considered safer	Potential exposure to traffic and road hazards
Social Interaction	Often a solo activity or group classes	Opportunities for group rides, clubs, and socializing
Caloric Burn and Skill Development	Targeted workouts, adjustable intensity	Engages a broader range of muscles, dynamic experience
Training Specificity	Effective for specific training goals	Varied training environment, overall

Cycling Calorie Calculations(09-Mar-24)

Posted on March 9, 2024March 9, 2024 by Admin

i did cycle for 80 minute from home to village chhalera and then chhalera to home

i am 92 kg male and did cycle for 60 minutes and clock 15 km, how much calorie i would have lost. my BMR is 1800

You likely burned around 1440 calories cycling for 60 minutes at a moderate pace (16-20 km/h) while weighing 92 kg.

Here’s the breakdown:

MET (Metabolic Equivalent of Task): 8 (cycling)
Your weight: 92 kg
Duration: 60 minutes (converted to hours: 1 hour)

We can estimate the calories burned using the following formula:

Calories burned = MET * BMR * duration

Where:

BMR (Basal Metabolic Rate) is an estimate of how many calories your body burns at rest. We used the BMR value you provided (1800).

Please note that this is an estimate. Actual calorie burn can vary depending on factors like your fitness level, terrain, and cycling intensity.

i am 92 kg male and did cycle for 40 minutes and clock 15 km, how much calorie i would have lost. my BMR is 1800

You likely burned around 960 calories cycling for 40 minutes at a moderate pace (16-20 km/h) while weighing 92 kg.

Here’s the breakdown:

MET (Metabolic Equivalent of Task): 8 (cycling)
Your weight: 92 kg
Duration: 40 minutes (converted to hours: 0.67 hours)

We can estimate the calories burned using the following formula:

Calories burned = MET * BMR * duration

Where:

BMR (Basal Metabolic Rate) is an estimate of how many calories your body burns at rest. We used the BMR value you provided (1800).

Please note that this is an estimate. Actual calorie burn can vary depending on factors like your fitness level, terrain, and cycling intensity.

why is so , why not i spend same energy to ride 15 km irrespetive of time

You’re right that it takes a certain amount of energy to move your body 15 kilometers on a bike. However, the way you distribute that effort across time affects how many calories you burn. Here’s why:

Energy Systems: Your body uses different energy systems for short bursts of intense activity compared to sustained, moderate activity. Cycling at a moderate pace for 80 minutes relies more on your aerobic system, which burns fat and calories efficiently but generates less power.
Intensity and Efficiency: While pushing yourself harder to cover 15 km in 40 minutes increases your overall power output, it also puts more stress on your anaerobic system. This system relies on burning carbohydrates for quick energy, but it’s less efficient and creates lactic acid buildup, leading to fatigue.
Resting Muscle Use: Even while maintaining a steady pace, your body uses some energy to keep your muscles working against gravity and maintain your position on the bike. Spreading this effort over 80 minutes allows for more recovery periods between pedal strokes, reducing the overall energy expenditure compared to a shorter, more intense ride.

Think of it like this: Imagine climbing a flight of stairs. You can take them two at a time quickly, burning more energy in a shorter burst. Or, you can take them one step at a time, using less energy per step but taking longer overall. Both ways get you to the top, but the faster method requires a higher peak energy output.

In conclusion: While the total work done to move 15 km stays the same, the way you distribute that effort across time influences the intensity, energy systems used, and overall calorie burn. Cycling for a longer duration at a moderate pace allows for more efficient energy use and potentially burns more calories.

i am 92 kg male and did walk for 60 minutes and cover 6 km, how much calorie i would have lost. my BMR is 1800

Walking at a moderate pace (3 mph) burns around 3.5 METs (Metabolic Equivalent of Task). This means that for every minute of walking, you burn 3.5 times your Basal Metabolic Rate (BMR) in calories.

Given that you weigh 92 kg, have a BMR of 1800 calories, and walked for 60 minutes (1 hour) covering 6 km, you likely burned around 630 calories.

Here’s the breakdown:

MET: 3.5 (walking)
Your weight: 92 kg
Duration: 60 minutes (converted to hours: 1 hour)

We can estimate the calories burned using the following formula:

Calories burned = MET * BMR * duration

Please note that this is an estimate. Actual calorie burn can vary depending on factors like your fitness level, terrain, and walking pace.

now i have done cycling in morning and do not feel tired, can i walk 40 minute in evening for 4km, will it be ok. consider all the parameters i have given.

Based on the information you’ve provided, walking 4 kilometers for 40 minutes in the evening after your morning cycle ride is absolutely okay! Here’s why:

Your weight and BMR: At 92 kg with a BMR of 1800, you have a good baseline for physical activity.
Moderate intensity: Both cycling and walking are considered moderate-intensity exercises, perfect for recovery after a longer cycling session.
No fatigue: Since you don’t feel tired after cycling, your body has likely recovered sufficiently for another moderate activity.

Benefits of the evening walk:

Active recovery: A light walk can promote blood flow and help your muscles recover from the cycling workout.
Additional calorie burn: While the calorie burn will be lower than cycling, it still contributes to your overall daily expenditure.
Mental well-being: A walk in the evening can be a great way to de-stress and unwind after a busy day.

Here are some additional points to consider:

Listen to your body: If you experience any pain or discomfort during the walk, stop and rest.
Hydration: Make sure to stay hydrated throughout the day, especially if you’re exercising twice.
Fueling: If your morning cycle ride was long or intense, you might want a small snack before your evening walk to replenish energy stores.

Overall, a 4 km walk in the evening seems like a perfect way to complement your morning cycling routine. It provides additional benefits for recovery, calorie burn, and mental well-being, all while staying within your physical capabilities based on the information provided. Enjoy your walk!

what is the impact if i feel tired and still push for walk

Potential benefits:

Light activity can be mildly stimulating: A gentle walk might help wake you up a bit and improve alertness, especially if you’re experiencing daytime fatigue.
Improved mood: Even low-intensity exercise can release endorphins, which have mood-boosting effects and can help combat some aspects of tiredness.

Potential drawbacks:

Increased fatigue and soreness: Pushing yourself when tired may lead to more fatigue and muscle soreness later, especially if you haven’t recovered adequately from your morning cycle.
Risk of injury: When tired, your coordination and reaction time may be slightly slower, increasing the risk of minor injuries like stumbles or falls.
Reduced enjoyment: Exercising when exhausted can be less enjoyable overall, making it harder to maintain consistency with your fitness routine.